The Early-Warning Frog


Ethel, the Early-Warning Frog
If you throw a frog into hot water, she'll jump out. But if you put her in tepid water and turn the heat up slowly, she'll get used to it and stay until the water's so hot it boils her.

Unless, that is, she's a very smart frog and catches on quick. Then when the heat gets too much for her, she jumps out before she gets boiled. If the other frogs see her, they might jump out in time, too. That makes her an


Early-Warning Frog


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    Monday, November 15, 2004
    Purging the CIA...of Reality

    On Saturday, David Brooks trashed whatever credibility he may have had left as an 'independent' voice rather than a Bush Admin mouthpiece when he savaged the CIA's attempt to defend itself against the assault of blame marshalled by the BA to get itself off the hook for its refusal to respond to their warnings before 9/11 and its analysts' conclusions that Iraq posed no threat. The neocon cabal, in thrall to nutbag Laurie Mylroie and her whacko conspiracy theories of Saddam as the Professor Moriarty of terrorism, set up, out of Cheney's office and under Doug Feith's supervision, two agencies--the Counter-Terrorism Evaluation Group (C-TEG) and the Office for Special Planning (OSP)--to do an end-run around the CIA's experienced analysts by 'stovepiping' raw, unconfirmed intelligence straight to them. Whatever they found that fit Mylroie's tinfoil-hat paranoia, they believed without question and made policy without bothering to confirm whether or not it was true, which explains how ace con-artist Ahmad Chalabi came to dominate the neocons' unreal version of Iraq's reality.

    The Company rapidly became the scapegoat for the Admin's refusal to face facts after Dick and W's Excellent Adventure in Iraq turned into a quagmire of quicksand, and the Mighty Wurlitzer of the right-wing Noise Machine was only too happy to trumpet that political twist. I said months ago, after the notorious outing of CIA covert-op Valerie Plame by the Bush Admin for political reasons, that the CIA wasn't going to stand for watching itself be politicized out of existence and its operatives blown for a few quick political brownie points. The absurd, not to say insane, appointment of GOP hack Porter Goss to head the CIA was bound to intensify the hard feelings and petrify the polarization between old hands who believed the CIA's analysis role was to be as non-partisan and accurate as possible, and the neocon newbies from C-TEG and OSP who saw analysis as another word for 'rationalizing what the Admin wants to do'.

    And they didn't stand for it. When Porter Goss began to do the job he was appointed to do--turn the CIA into an Imperial foreign-policy spin machine--they began to fight back. Brooks makes not the slightest attempt to so much as acknowledge that they might have had some legitimate reasons to protect themselves from this politicization. No, to Brooks, the CIA's only job is to 'serve the president', and they should be ashamed of themselves for serving the truth instead.
    President Bush is going to have to differentiate between his opponents and his enemies. His opponents are found in the Democratic Party. His enemies are in certain offices of the Central Intelligence Agency.

    Over the past several months, as much of official Washington looked on wide-eyed and agog, many in the C.I.A. bureaucracy have waged an unabashed effort to undermine the current administration.

    At the height of the campaign, C.I.A. officials, who are supposed to serve the president and stay out of politics and policy, served up leak after leak to discredit the president's Iraq policy. There were leaks of prewar intelligence estimates, leaks of interagency memos. In mid-September, somebody leaked a C.I.A. report predicting a gloomy or apocalyptic future for the region. Later that month, a senior C.I.A. official, Paul Pillar, reportedly made comments saying he had long felt the decision to go to war would heighten anti-American animosity in the Arab world.
    Oh goodness me, the dastardly crime of 'undermining' the Emperor's Admin by defending oneself against its on-going assaults and scapegoating to cover its own mistakes and blindnesses is one we should never have to suffer in the Imperium. Why, the Imperial Viziers actually felt they had to hide their political agenda for fear the CIA would out them because they were all, you know, Kerry moles.
    White House officials concluded that they could no longer share important arguments and information with intelligence officials. They had to parse every syllable in internal e-mail. One White House official says it felt as if the C.I.A. had turned over its internal wastebaskets and fed every shred of paper to the press.

    ... Langley was engaged in slow-motion, brazen insubordination, which violated all standards of honorable public service. It was also incredibly stupid, since C.I.A. officials were betting their agency on a Kerry victory.
    'Insubordination'? What an odd word to use. And 'brazen' at that. Oh, and the truth 'violate[s] all standards of honorable public service'. Uh-huh. Right.

    Ordinarily this would be a typically laughable piece of Brooksian idiocy and a good example of why I haven't bothered to read him but 3 or 4 times since the NYT caved under Grand Vizier Rove's insistence that they hire him, but his fawning over Imperial policy toward the Company and his automatic acceptance of its rank politicization are the above-the-water tips of icebergs looming off the Imperial bow.

    Newsday reported yesterday (link thanks to The Agonist) that Goss has been ordered to 'purge the agency' of any officers considered 'disloyal to Bush'.
    WASHINGTON -- The White House has ordered the new CIA director, Porter Goss, to purge the agency of officers believed to have been disloyal to President George W. Bush or of leaking damaging information to the media about the conduct of the Iraq war and the hunt for Osama bin Laden, according to knowledgeable sources.

    "The agency is being purged on instructions from the White House," said a former senior CIA official who maintains close ties to both the agency and to the White House. "Goss was given instructions ... to get rid of those soft leakers and liberal Democrats. The CIA is looked on by the White House as a hotbed of liberals and people who have been obstructing the president's agenda."
    Brooks' job on Saturday was to lead this story away from its Soviet-style 'off with their heads' quality into Imperial Spinland where it could be interpreted as punishment for 'brazen insubordination', and now we can begin to understand why he chose that word. The Bush Admin is going to use the blame-the-CIA-for-9/11-and-Iraq meme as an excuse to turn the whole agency into a larger version of C-TEG and the OSP: an NKVD-style political network whose job is to 'serve the Emperor' and his Presidium by endorsing--and enforcing--what they've already decided to do.

    Given this, it would make sense if the first old CIA hand to go was the covert op director who kept telling them his Iraq network couldn't find any evidence that Hussein had WMD's or any capability to produce them, and that everything Chalabi was telling them was false. And guess what?
    One of the first casualties appears to be Stephen R. Kappes, deputy director of clandestine services, the CIA's most powerful division. The Washington Post reported yesterday that Kappes had tendered his resignation after a confrontation with Goss' chief of staff, Patrick Murray, but at the behest of the White House had agreed to delay his decision till tomorrow.

    But the former senior CIA official said that the White House "doesn't want Steve Kappes to reconsider his resignation. That might be the spin they put on it, but they want him out." He said the job had already been offered to the former chief of the European Division....
    The Emperor is, in sum, wasting no time consolidating his power, and in a few short months, we'll all have forgotten that there was ever a difference between the CIA and the KGB.

    No wonder the Emperor got along so well with Putin. Birds-of-a-feather.

    Posted at 07:09 am by Ethel, the Early-Warning Frog

    Eric Martin
    November 16, 2004   02:10 PM PST
     
    Mick,

    I agree 100%. I read that column on Saturday and had the same reaction. After discussing the content with a friend, he composed a letter and sent it to Brooks. Not that he'll read it, but it is a worthy effort. Not surprisingly, he touches on many of the themes you highlight in your post. Excuse the length of this comment, but I thought I would include his letter in full:

    Dear Mr. Brooks:

    While your anger over the CIA's leaks and comments regarding the Bush Administration's mistakes in Iraq and other failings is understandable as a partisan matter, these leaks and criticisms have undeniably served the American people and the notion of transparent governance so necessary to democracy. The Bush Administration's subversion of the intelligence gathering process via the creation of the OSP was sure to ruffle some feathers inside the agency but might have been justified as a way to get around the entrenched bureacracy therein, and if this was the only reason that the CIA acted so subversively you might have a point (although your claim that "White House officials concluded that they could not share important arguments and information with" the CIA after the leaks is incorrect--Cheney concluded this before he became VP and shut out important intelligence figures before the Iraq war even started). But turf wars aside, by selectively using intelligence and purposefully ignoring all warnings regarding that intelligence, the Bush Administration created a situation that demanded a whistleblower. Moreover, expecting the CIA to fall on the Bush Administration's sword is not reasonable. After creating the OSP, gathering its own intelligence, and ignoring any intelligence that did not favor its Iraq war policy, the Administration turned around, and with "the buck stops somewhere else" attitude that so characterizes it, tried to blame its own failure to adequately prepare for the post-war period in Iraq on the CIA. You call the CIA's decision to then show the American people what it had actually told the Administration about Iraq disloyal, I call it sending the buck back where it belongs (and providing the American public with important information they needed to know about the misinformation that is the daily bread of the Bush White House).

    Simply put, the CIA's role is to gather intelligence, not play the fall guy for the President's failures--that's what cabinet members are for.

    The hysterical claim that the CIA's insubordination "violated all standards of public service" deserves little consideration. On the contrary, leaking the fact that the Administration refused to consider intelligence that did not favor its policies serves the American public well. This may not have served the President well, but thankfully we do not live under a dictatorship where the supreme ruler's personal interests are substituted for the public interest (even considered coterminous with that interest).

    Finally, I am afraid the President will not heed your suggestion to inform the CIA that he wants only information from it. This is because the President has already defined what he wants from the intelligence community, and, much to the dismay of any thoughtful American, it isn't information. Information is what the intelligence community tried to provide, and the Administration refused to accept. Rather, the Bush Administration wants the CIA to act as an advocate on behalf of Bush's policies, regardless of what the information that the CIA gathers suggests about whether those policies are wise or unwise.

    The intelligence community does serve the Executive. But it does so by gathering information, not by advocating for the Executive's policies. The American public is better served by a CIA whose role is to gather all the intelligence relevant to proposed Executive policies and present it for consideration than by a CIA whose role is to gather only intelligence that supports the President's policy aims and ignore, even discard, intelligence that does not. Even a lawyer, whose job it is to advocate for one position regardless of the facts, cannot simply ignore or discard inconvenient facts. Why would we want our intelligence community (or even our President) to do so?

    David Kinnecome (New York)
    eRobin
    November 16, 2004   04:04 PM PST
     
    Excellent post except that Brooks had no credibility left to toss away. I'm not kidding about that. I have no respect for that man.
    Mick
    November 16, 2004   05:34 PM PST
     
    I agree. I was giving him the benefit of a doubt he didn't deserve just because I'm a sweetheart of a guy.
    Eric Martin
    November 17, 2004   05:01 PM PST
     
    Yeah Mick, wasn't it you who warned me once before about my granting of the benefit of the doubt to Brooks?
    Name Irwin J. Kappes
    January 27, 2005   11:43 AM PST
     
    The CIA should not be the president's personal spy shop, but the nation's intelligence agency--dedicated to truth and not political spin. The smirking chimp is systematically destroying one of our most important national resources at a time when we need it most. God help us. Irwin J. Kappes (no relation to Stephen R. Kappes!)
     

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